The author argues that current observations of rapid AI capability increases are likely to continue, warning that underestimating the speed of technological advancement is dangerous. While acknowledging personal fallibility, they maintain that the trajectory of model improvement remains steep and non-linear.
HOW THIS AFFECTS YOU
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founderYou should plan for rapid shifts in the competitive landscape rather than assuming static benchmarks.
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investorDirectional bets on scaling laws remain a central risk and opportunity factor.